Bold opening: The market hinges on how often Andrew Tate (@Cobratate) posts on X between March 3, 12:00 PM ET and March 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET—and the tally will decide the outcome. And this is the part most people miss: only specific kinds of posts count, and timing matters.
What counts: Only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts are included in the total.
What doesn’t count: Replies do not contribute to the total, except for replies that appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracking system.
Post visibility: Deleted posts still count as long as they remain accessible long enough for the tracker to record them (roughly five minutes).
How the result is determined: The official resolution uses the Post Counter figures from the tracker at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. You can view individual posts by selecting "Export Data" on that site. If the tracker isn’t updating correctly according to the stated rules, X itself may serve as a supplementary resolution source.
Initial timing: This market was created on February 28, 2026, at 12:02 AM ET, and will resolve based on the posting activity of Tate within the March 3–March 10 window.
To recap, the counting window runs from March 3, 12:00 PM ET to March 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, and the tally excludes replies unless they appear on the main feed and are recorded by the tracker. Deleted posts count only if the tracker captured them during their brief availability. The Post Counter at the tracker site is the primary resolution source, with X as a fallback if needed.
Question for readers: Do you think this counting method fairly reflects overall engagement, or should replies and other interactions be weighted differently to capture a fuller picture? Share your thoughts in the comments.
